卡萨诺:挪威没哈兰德也比意大利强,我们15年前就停滞不前(卡萨诺:挪威就算没有哈兰德也强过意大利,我们已经停滞了15年)

 天博    |      2026-01-02

Evaluating Italy and Norway's football context

I can refer to the historical context, like Italy being Euro 2020 champions and Norway's struggles in recent qualifiers. Although Norway ranks around 40 and Italy in the top 10-15, they missed Euro 2024 while Italy participated but lost to Switzerland in the Round of 16. This challenges the claim that Norway, without Haaland, is stronger than Italy. I’ll include some objective comparisons and potential points for discussion, such as rankings and squad valuations, in a short bullet-point format.Exploring football stagnation claims

I’ll start with a quick translation and context about the statement made by a former Italy forward who argues that Italy has stagnated since around 2010. To fact-check, Italy has had some successes, like being Euro 2020 winners and runners-up in 2012, but they did miss two World Cups.

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Meanwhile, Norway hasn't qualified for a major tournament since 2000, missing 2022 and Euro 2024. I'll cautiously discuss stagnation, focusing on youth development, tactical trends, and Italy's recent club performances in Europe without inventing specific numbers.Analyzing national team pipelines

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I recognize that the national team may have a lack of strong forwards, relying heavily on players like Immobile, Scamacca, and Raspadori, while focusing on creative midfielders.

To proceed, I can ask the user whether they want a deeper comparison or just a simple translation. My plan is to provide a concise bullet-point response in Chinese, including a brief analysis of exaggerated statements, performance comparisons, and insights into Italy and Norway’s strengths and weaknesses. I’ll also offer to suggest methodologies for data comparison without needing network access.

大意:卡萨诺说“就算没有哈兰德,挪威也比意大利强;我们早在15年前就停滞了。”

怎么看这话(简评):

  • 夸张成分大。结果层面看,意大利近十多年有2012欧亚军、2020欧洲杯冠军,也打进过多届欧国联四强;挪威则多年缺席大赛(连欧锦赛、世界杯正赛都难进)。这与“更强”不吻合。
  • 但“停滞”并非空穴来风:意大利两度无缘世界杯(2018、2022),进攻端长期缺少顶级9号,创造力与进球稳定性不足,这些是结构性问题。
  • 挪威的亮点在球星天花板(厄德高、哈兰德),但整体厚度和比赛管理仍不如传统强队;没有哈兰德时,威胁显著下降,资格赛成绩也说明了这一点。

更客观的对照(到近年为止):

  • 成绩:意大利大赛履历明显优于挪威;挪威近年资格赛多数小组第三或更低。
  • 排名/评分:FIFA/Elo评分长期意大利高于挪威(波动存在,但总体如此)。
  • 阵容结构:挪威顶星更耀眼;意大利在防线、中场厚度、比赛经验更全面。
  • 短板:意大利进攻产出与9号位;挪威是板凳深度与无哈兰德时的进攻方案。

如果你想深挖,我可以:

  1. 做一页客观对比卡(FIFA/Elo趋势、近三届大赛/资格赛、进球/预期进球、阵容身价与年龄结构)。
  2. 针对“意大利停滞”的成因列要点与改进路:青训与U23分钟、外援比例、战术与节奏、锋线培养等。
  3. 做一版位对位的首发对比(意大利 vs 挪威)并给出胜负关键。

你更想要翻译、快评,还是数据向的对比图表?